Now that we’ve got the Cheltenham Festival out of the way my
attention turns the
2012 Grand National which gets underway on the 12
th
April. The Grand National meeting is very much similar to the Cheltenham
Festival with a host of high profile races all leading up to the main race –
John Smith’s Grand National on the Saturday.
If you are unfamiliar with the Grand National or if you are
thinking about having a bet on the Grand National for the first time, you may
find it a very daunting prospect with so many runners entered into the race.
The one big bit of advice I can give anybody who is new to betting on the Grand
National is to look at horses that appreciate a true test of stamina and have
no questions marks surrounding their jumping.
Another piece of information that can help you draw a line
through a lot of the runners is to use past trends on the race. The National is
rich in stats so having looked at all the stats available for the Grand
National, I’ve come up with some important factors which could really help you
in deciding which horses to back.
Grand National Trends
Age 8 to 12 year olds - You have to go back to 1940
to find a horse younger than 8 to have won the Grand National and in the last
87 years no horse older than 12 has won the race
Weight 11 stone 5lb or under - Since the war only five
Grand Nationals have been won by horses carrying more than 11st 5 lbs and two
of those were by Red Rum
Won over three miles or more – Gay Trip in 1970 was
the last Grand National winner who hadn't previously won over at least three
miles
Won a valuable race – The last 10 winners had all won
a race worth at least £17,000.
Run a minimum of 10 Chases - Each of the last 10
Grand National winners had run at least ten times over fences before the start
on the big day at Aintree
Run in the last 50 days – In the last 28 years all
winners had competed at least 50 days prior to their winning race.
Handicap Mark – For the last 20 running’s each winner
has had a handicap mark of 136-160
As you can see there are a lot of factors surrounding past
winners but you have to remember that stats are there to be broken so not ever
winner will fit in to each factor.
I will be looking at the runners and riders closer to the
time but if you are looking to keep up to date with all the latest sports
betting news, you may find this
Grand National 2012 article an interesting read.